With Chennai Tremendous Kings clearly out of the race, what precisely are the possibilities of the remaining seven groups to make it to the playoffs? TOI’s Shankar Raghuraman does the quantity crunching to reach at these 13 factors.
1. The utmost any crew can attain this season within the league stage is 20 factors
2. Solely three groups can attain this – Mumbai Indians, Delhi Capitals and Royal Challengers Bangalore
3. If one in all these three groups will get to 20 factors, the opposite two can’t
4. With 11 video games in all left to be performed within the league stage, there are 2,048 doable mixtures of match outcomes (not counting washouts)
5. In 512 of those doable mixtures, Chennai Tremendous Kings get to 12 factors. In none of them, nonetheless, can they qualify since at the least 4 groups will get to 14 or extra factors
6. Chennai are subsequently out of rivalry even when they win all their remaining video games
7. Rajasthan Royals are solely barely higher off. In the event that they lose even one in all their remaining two video games, they can not qualify. In the event that they win each, they’ve a 9% likelihood of being tied on factors for fourth place (48 out of 512 doable outcomes)
8. Sunrisers Hyderabad’s possibilities of qualifying for the play-offs additionally stay slim even when they win their remaining three video games. In the event that they do this, they’ve a 10% likelihood of being tied for fourth place (26 out of 256 doable outcomes)
9. Mumbai Indians, Delhi Capitals and Royal Challengers Bangalore have a 95% likelihood of qualifying
10. The possibilities of any of those groups failing to qualify as a result of they will’t even make joint fourth spot is a mere 0.4%. The likelihood of any of them ending up in tied fourth place is 4.7%
11. Kolkata Knight Riders and Kings XI are subsequently the probably contenders for the fourth spot
12. There’s a very slim likelihood (0.4%) of KKR ending clearly on the prime with 18 factors. It has a 6% likelihood of tying for first place
13. Kings XI has no likelihood of being a transparent No.1, however there’s a slim likelihood (0.4%) of it being tied for first place
The IPL 2020 season has been a really aggressive one. With a crew like Kings XI Punjab rising from the ashes after languishing on the backside of the factors desk, due to 4 wins on the trot, issues have turn into extra attention-grabbing. The three break free groups this season have been Mumbai Indians, Delhi Capitals and Royal Challengers Bangalore. Mumbai and Bangalore although each misplaced over the weekend. With seven groups within the operating for the 4 play-offs berths and three groups (Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore) greater than prone to seal a spot, the combat for the remaining fourth place (for which KKR and KXIP are the prime contenders as of now) may make the remaining league matches of IPL 2020 very attention-grabbing. Count on the groups to throw every little thing, together with the kitchen sink to try to seize a play-off berth within the matches developing.


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